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Recent COVID-19 deaths increasing

Analyzing recent trends
Published: Sep. 17, 2020 at 5:51 PM CDT
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HASTINGS, Neb. (KSNB) - Nearly 40,000 cases of COVID-19 have been diagnosed in Nebraska since March, six months ago. Activity has fluctuated due to response to mask orders, lock down phases, business closings, and individual activity. Over the past few weeks, recent cases have begun to increase once again in Nebraska.

Observing the numbers statewide, there has been a trend since the last week of August of increasing cases. Given the course of the contagious period and illness itself, one can assume a 14-day period for active cases, with a few outliers recovering sooner or later than that period. This gives an approximated count of active cases. Using this approximation, the recent cases increased by 22.6% between August 27 and September 16. For most of the month of August, recent cases were decreasing and did so by 15.19% between August 3 and August 27. While cases are rising now, Nebraska has not surpassed the peak from early May, but has passed the early August peak.

A recent increase of cases in Nebraska is putting us closer to counts we last saw in April and May at the beginning of the pandemic.
A recent increase of cases in Nebraska is putting us closer to counts we last saw in April and May at the beginning of the pandemic.

Early July was the lowest count of recent approximate active cases, hitting the valley at 1,964 cases July 3 and the two weeks prior. Since then, many areas have reopened to some extent, and schools are back in session to varying degrees of attendance since late August.

In total, there have been 455 deaths recorded in the state. In the Tri-Cities area, local health departments have counted 60 in Central District, 19 in Two Rivers, and 12 in South Heartland. Elsewhere in the state where cases have been high, Lancaster has reported 21 deaths and Douglas has reported 181.

Divided by some major health districts in the Tri Cities, Lincoln, and Omaha
Divided by some major health districts in the Tri Cities, Lincoln, and Omaha

Death trends do not follow the 14-day period we used earlier to approximate active cases, but using a similar two-week period still lends context to recent activity regarding the mortality of the disease. Similar to the case trend, recent statewide deaths have been increasing as well.

Following the activity of COVID-19 spreading in Nebraska, recent deaths have been increasing as well.
Following the activity of COVID-19 spreading in Nebraska, recent deaths have been increasing as well.

Data is analyzed by Kit Cloninger, using data provided by the New York Times found here.

Copyright 2020 KSNB. All rights reserved.

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