Severe weather returns to the forecast for much of the area Tuesday
April 5, 2021 Morning Forecast
HASTINGS, Neb. (KSNB) - A developing low pressure system will push an area of low pressure out of Colorado and into Southwest Nebraska Tuesday morning. That low will push toward the Tri-Cities area as the day goes on. Out ahead of the low will be breezy south southeasterly winds of 15 to 25 mph. These areas will also be partly to mostly sunny with a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms. Farther northwest, there will be chilly rain showers in the cool sector along with some blustery north northwest winds. Directly behind the low, there could be some wind gusts that approach 50 mph. High temperatures on Tuesday will range from around 50° in the northwestern parts of the Local4 viewing area to around 80° in the southeastern parts of the Local4 viewing area. I expect it to get into the mid 70s in the Tri-Cities.
By late Tuesday afternoon and into Tuesday evening, showers and thunderstorms will fire around the area of low pressure and also to the south near a trailing dry line/cold front. This will give South Central and Southeast Nebraska as well as North Central Kansas a chance of some strong to severe thunderstorms. I do think this chance is better than the Monday evening chances farther northwest. The Storm Prediction Center has a Marginal (Level 1 out of 5) Risk for severe storms. Large hail, strong wind gusts, and even an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Later in the night, the storms will push east and away from our area. There may be some wrap-around showers the move in from the north on the back side of the low pressure system. Along with the rain, strong northwest winds of 15 to 30 mph will be drawing in much cooler air. Low temperatures by Wednesday morning will be in the 40s east of Highway 281 and in the 30s to the west. It may be cold enough in the far northwest to see some snowfall. Snow accumulation in these area will be tough due to the warm ground thanks to the recent warmth. The snow will also be falling on areas that have received rain, making it easier to melt.
A chance of showers will continue on a chilly and blustery Wednesday. Winds will be out of the northwest at 20 to 35 mph with gusts that could approach 50 mph. It’ll be a much cooler day with highs mostly in the mid 40s to mid 50s. I would be surprised to see some remain colder than this. The last of the rain will push eastward Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
Thursday and beyond will feature temperatures returning closer to average in the 50s and 60s. Thursday and Friday will still be a bit windy, although not as bad as Wednesday. While the chance of rain isn’t zero, it remains low enough for now that I haven’t included it in my forecast.
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