Stormy weather expected into Tuesday night; Cooler and windy weather set for Wednesday
October 12, 2021 Morning Forecast
HASTINGS, Neb. (KSNB) - Stormy weather is expected across the state tonight and into early Wednesday morning with windy and much cooler conditions expected behind this system into Wednesday afternoon.
As a low pressure system develops and deeps and ejects out of northern Colorado into western Nebraska, rain, severe weather, wind and even snow will be possible across the region. Most of the state is covered by a marginal and slight risk for severe weather from the SPC, meaning isolated to scattered severe storms will be possible Tuesday evening and through the overnight hours across the state. There is an enhanced risk for severe weather, where numerous severe storms are possible across central and western Kansas.
A Tornado Watch is in place across parts of southwestern Nebraska as well as eastern Colorado and western Kansas through 11 PM CDT. Several tornadoes, some very large hail, 80 MPH wind gusts, and areas of heavy rain will be possible as storms develop this evening.
Into Tuesday evening, numerous showers and thunderstorms will fire up in the western parts of Nebraska. As the night progresses, these will make their way eastward across the state of Nebraska. This is all as an area of low pressure moves from the southern Panhandle into the Sandhills of Nebraska. Most of the showers and thunderstorms will be near or ahead of an attached cold front that extends to the south of the area of low pressure. Behind the cold front, dry air pushing in from the southwest will lead to quick clearing of the skies. Winds will also turn from southerly to more westerly behind this front. They will continue to be quite strong, but from a different direction. Meanwhile, on the backside of the low pressure system, rain will be changing to snow in the Panhandle where totals of up to a couple of inches will be possible. Going back to the overnight thunderstorms, severe weather is a possibility. The chance will be greater the farther south that you go, so expect the best chance in Northern Kansas with lower chances in Northern Nebraska. Damaging wind gusts in excess of 60 mph are the biggest threat. Some isolated large hail will be possible. The severe threat should lessen by early tomorrow. The last of the showers and isolated thunderstorms will lift out of the northern and eastern parts of the area by mid-morning. Skies will become clear for most of the area except for the northwest where there will still be some lingering clouds near the departing area of low pressure. In the end, many locations will end up picking up around 0.50″ to 1.00″ of rain. We could likely see more rain if the system was a bit slower, but it will blast through the state fairly quickly.
Sunshine is expect for the vast majority of the area on Wednesday, but the lingering low clouds may last for a large part of the area up north. This will keep temperatures cooler there. Highs will range from around 50° northwest to the mid 60s in the southeast. Winds will again be a big deal out of the west northwest. Look for sustained winds of 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Winds will die down and skies will remain clear for Wednesday night, leading to the coldest temperatures of the fall so far. Low temperatures Thursday morning will drop back into the 30s for most of the area. Areas near and west of Highway 281 will have to watch for the threat of patchy frost with temperatures more likely to be near or below freezing out west.
In addition to rain and potential severe weather, winds are expected to be very strong as this system pushes through the state with winds gusting as high as 40, 50 and even up to 60 MPH at times across parts of the state. For central Nebraska, we should see strong southerly and southeasterly winds through early Wednesday morning with gusts up to around 40 MPH or so. As the low pressure system slides off to our north though, winds are expected to turn to the west and northwest from west to east across the state. By Wednesday afternoon, westerly and northwesterly winds could be gusting between 30 and 50 MPH across the state with the strongest wind gusts likely staying across the northern half of the state.
Temperatures into Wednesday morning will have quite the spread, with lows in the lower 30s in the far west to the lower 60s in eastern Nebraska.
With mostly sunny skies and very windy conditions, much cooler temperatures are also expected by Wednesday afternoon with high temperatures in the low 50s to the upper 60s across the state.
The extended forecast will keep our mornings on the chilly side over the next few days with areas of frost possible Friday and Saturday morning. Afternoon highs will fall to around 60° by Friday before climbing back to the mid 60s to low 70s this weekend into early next week.
The state softball tournament gets underway in Hastings on Wednesday and runs through Friday. No major weather issues are expected to cause delays. Expect chilly mornings and cool afternoons. The biggest issue will be the strong winds on Wednesday, but those winds shouldn’t be quite so strong for Thursday and Friday. Friday will still be on the breezy side, but not so windy.
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